Innocent-Ratepayer
0xd61a1e1727d255771393aaaf165628dce592c7f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
192
Open notional
$38.77
Total PnL
$9.22
Realised
$33.00
Win rate
81%
110 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- YES
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?
22 shares @ 7.5¢·now 12.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.70
$1.03
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
20 shares @ 9.3¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.91
$0.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?
20 shares @ 7.3¢·now 7.9¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$1.58
$0.12
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
20 shares @ 6.5¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.41
$0.11
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.39
$0.00
- YES
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.36
$-0.22
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
20 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.31
$-0.01
- YES
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$0.24
- YES
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
20 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.03
$-0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?$0.35Jun 3, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?$0.35Jun 3, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?$0.44Jun 3, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$0.42Jun 3, 00:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.89Jun 3, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.78Jun 3, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 5?$0.08Jun 3, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$0.30Jun 3, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$1.76Jun 3, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$1.82Jun 3, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 5?$0.10Jun 3, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$0.56Jun 3, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.94Jun 3, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.80Jun 3, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.90Jun 3, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?$1.27Jun 3, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$0.62Jun 3, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$1.86Jun 3, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?$0.56Jun 3, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 June 1-7?$0.28Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 22:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 110 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".