Lighthearted-Infant
0xd61e22734b257afc0710f6b530a0abc244eac34f
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$125.62
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
39479 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-250.89
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?
26000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
16217 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-113.47
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 8?
6298 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-104.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on April 9?
5301 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-228.35
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
3750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
3083 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-65.61
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on April 21?
2090 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-23.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$0.50May 19, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$0.50May 19, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$0.50May 19, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$0.50May 19, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.50May 19, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.50May 19, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.50May 19, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$0.50May 19, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$0.50May 19, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$0.50May 19, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.50May 19, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.50May 19, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.50May 19, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$0.50May 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.50May 19, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.28May 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.07May 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.15May 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.05May 19, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.05May 19, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 23:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".