Watery-Wallaby
0xd6222e6e84a12099dd0fe604e27764750aaddee0
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$644.69
Total PnL
$-625.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
611 shares @ 81.8¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$467.50
$-32.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
5804 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$162.51
$-87.48
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
524 shares @ 51.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$14.68
$-255.32
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?
911 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
622 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$220.49Jun 9, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$200.00Jun 9, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$26.89Jun 9, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$39.26Jun 9, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$50.00Jun 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$50.00Jun 9, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$374.87Jun 9, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?$7.05Jun 4, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$71.95Jun 4, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?$51.93Jun 4, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$51.92Jun 4, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$201.26May 31, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$202.54May 31, 23:02 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$582.06May 28, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$56.39May 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$502.82May 27, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$207.64May 27, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$302.37May 27, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$103.96May 27, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have a #1 AI model this year?$89.99May 27, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $116.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 04:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.