Phony-Cot
0xd6280c12247e5ca01e17f1097f25384e6ac7a698
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$866.28
Total PnL
$-0.64
Realised
$0.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?
210 shares @ 84.2¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$169.19
$-7.81
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
193 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.08
$8.68
- UNDER
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5
156 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$149.22
$-0.78
- UNDER
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5
105 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$100.53
$0.53
- OVER
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5
82 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$74.18
$-0.82
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
58 shares @ 94.7¢·now 94.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$54.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
52 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$51.95
$1.95
- NO
Will Qatar send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.03
$1.03
- NO
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
10 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$158.57Jun 14, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5$50.56Jun 14, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5$10.99Jun 14, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5$10.35Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$10.09Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5$75.18Jun 14, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5$100.15Jun 14, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5$150.18Jun 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$50.06Jun 14, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$150.25Jun 14, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5$50.02Jun 14, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$50.45Jun 14, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$199.79Jun 14, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 5.5$146.94Jun 14, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5$101.01Jun 14, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5$53.76Jun 14, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMAustralia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye 1st Half O/U 1.5$20.40Jun 14, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$190.28Jun 14, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$50.01Jun 14, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5$100.03Jun 14, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $103.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.