Sparkling-Script
0xd6297115f9b0b9efd2d1f71e905d027cfae14c72
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-899.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31?
647 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 29?
43 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 24?
32 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on May 26?
31 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 14?
27 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22?
26 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?
25 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 1?
24 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 70°F or higher on May 25?
24 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 24?
23 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12?$3.82Jun 13, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?$5.21Jun 12, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11?$8.80Jun 12, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11?$11.50Jun 11, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?$4.26Jun 11, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?$5.73Jun 11, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?$4.80Jun 11, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11?$5.03Jun 11, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 11?$6.32Jun 11, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 11?$5.73Jun 11, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 10?$2.85Jun 11, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 10?$8.34Jun 10, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on June 10?$4.09Jun 10, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 10?$5.76Jun 10, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 10?$2.68Jun 10, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 10?$3.51Jun 10, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12?$2.51Jun 10, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12?$3.24Jun 10, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12?$3.27Jun 10, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?$11.19Jun 10, 16:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.