Troubled-Explanation
0xd62fc89bf7c9ba9fdf95b7a16a888c98076b9c75
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-891.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
16675 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-228.94
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?
12147 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?
8272 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.63
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
6456 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?
3969 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-109.21
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire before July?
1586 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
1056 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-78.17
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
358 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?$55.00Feb 12, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?$49.63Feb 11, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?$16.93Jan 31, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$32.71Jan 31, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?$78.17Jan 29, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$23.20Jan 29, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?$37.94Jan 29, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?$20.00Jan 29, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$31.98Jan 29, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$54.97Jan 29, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$48.84Jan 29, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?$109.21Sep 4, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?$228.95Aug 11, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before July? $60.00Jun 24, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before July? $91.00Jun 24, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before July? $100.00Jun 24, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran before August?$60.73Jun 24, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$133.25Jun 24, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$204.48Jun 23, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$118.15Jun 23, 17:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $195.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 02:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.