Fluffy-Solidity
0xd630310f2f04b96384544bbbd41083ec92f57849
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$23.93
Total PnL
$-20.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?
13 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$12.96
$5.96
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.94
$1.94
- YES
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.59
$0.59
- NO
Doge ETF approved by July 31?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will the SPD be part of the next German government?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy a sports team before July?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Bayern Munich beat RB Leipzig?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?$7.00May 15, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0.00May 3, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$0.00May 3, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$1.61May 3, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$5.41May 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich beat RB Leipzig?$10.00May 3, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$5.00Apr 28, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$5.00Apr 28, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$4.90Apr 28, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?$0.00Apr 22, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Apr 22, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?$0.00Apr 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Pope be from Europe?$3.00Apr 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$3.00Apr 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$3.00Apr 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?$1.00Apr 15, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-16?$3.00Apr 15, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Apr 15, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Apr 15, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $0.00Apr 15, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 12:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 06:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".