Muddy-Briefing
0xd63077f43aaf4fa4b7f5998b9ae7794444f015fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on April 13?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 13?
53 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or higher on April 1?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on March 28?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 13?$1.00Apr 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on April 13?$1.00Apr 13, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or higher on April 1?$1.00Mar 30, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on March 28?$1.00Mar 27, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on March 26?$4.35Mar 27, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMRutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan Wolverines$0.00Mar 25, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.00Mar 25, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Mar 25, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on March 26?$1.00Mar 25, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Michigan Wolverines$1.00Dec 6, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.00Dec 6, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$1.00Dec 6, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 19:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 00:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.