Trivial-Date
0xd63dabf98e43049c00d765b117dea9b03370e141
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$288.43
Total PnL
$-63.98
Realised
$55.79
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
54 shares @ 98.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$53.08
$-0.45
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
35 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.03
$0.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
36 shares @ 79.9¢·now 84.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$30.46
$1.70
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
29 shares @ 81.2¢·now 87.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$25.48
$1.89
- NO
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
25 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$22.35
$-0.38
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
29 shares @ 63.3¢·now 63.2¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$18.42
$-0.04
- NO
Will Josué Casimir score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.78
$0.20
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
12 shares @ 69.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$10.38
$2.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
32 shares @ 38.6¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.02
$-2.24
- YES
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?
15 shares @ 39.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$8.86
$2.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$4.99Jun 14, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$4.99Jun 14, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in June?$0.10Jun 14, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$0.37Jun 14, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.75Jun 14, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B$1.25Jun 14, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?$0.15Jun 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?$0.10Jun 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Curaçao: Draw at halftime?$0.09Jun 14, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Conway be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$0.02Jun 14, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$0.16Jun 14, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$0.39Jun 14, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$0.39Jun 14, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCuraçao leading at halftime?$0.13Jun 14, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.64Jun 14, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.64Jun 14, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1.58Jun 14, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$1.58Jun 14, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.72Jun 14, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$0.72Jun 14, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.