Smoggy-Briefly
0xd643e9df3f0421610ce84c2acfaec9cf20620dd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.1K
Realised
$-3.3K
Win rate
38%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?
23765 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-13.6K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $124k in October?
22770 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.4K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120k in October?
18234 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $126k in October?
16000 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.2K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $122k in October?
13239 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $118,000 October 6-12?
12960 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $110k in October?
12700 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.6K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
11896 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $112,000 October 27-November 2?
11391 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $106,000 October 13-19?
9688 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.8K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$132.80Dec 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$364.58Dec 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?$15.34Dec 22, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 18?$180.00Dec 21, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$108.50Dec 19, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$22.41Dec 18, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$33.59Dec 18, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$100.75Dec 18, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$60.70Dec 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$64.55Dec 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$81.00Dec 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 18?$100.80Dec 17, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$79.00Dec 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?$83.78Dec 16, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?$10.65Dec 16, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?$12.78Dec 16, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?$12.07Dec 16, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?$11.36Dec 16, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 17?$11.36Dec 16, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?$90.00Dec 16, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $72.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 11:44 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 23, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".