Grown-Oregano
0xd64a028deb545253deac6c3719e089bca7775612
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.83
Total PnL
$-466.21
Realised
$-4.52
Win rate
35%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
5 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$3.83
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 30?
114 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?
64 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?
42 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 1?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- JAMES MCCABE
Wuxi: Adam Walton vs James McCabe
20 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
16 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?
15 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- KATERINA SINIAKOVA
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katerina Siniakova vs Anna Kalinskaya
15 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
- NICK HARDT
Santos: Murkel Dellien vs Nick Hardt
15 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$5.00Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMPerugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carboni$5.00Jun 2, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMCenturion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Patrick Zahraj$5.00Jun 2, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMHeilbronn: Marvin Moeller vs Gauthier Onclin$4.79Jun 2, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP (Doubles): Nouza/Oberleitner vs Bolelli/Vavassori$5.00Jun 2, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET$5.00Jun 2, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.00Jun 2, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$2.13Jun 2, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$4.79Jun 2, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11AM ET$3.38Jun 2, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.00Jun 2, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.05Jun 2, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$3.05Jun 2, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.27Jun 2, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.43Jun 2, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$4.79Jun 2, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCenturion 2: Robin Bertrand vs Patrick Zahraj$4.75Jun 2, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeilbronn: Marvin Moeller vs Gauthier Onclin$1.90Jun 2, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$3.24Jun 2, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLProstejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumich$4.99Jun 2, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 14:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.