Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.5K

Realised

$-89.39

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 25

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
705 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-430.02
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
455 shares @ 75.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-343.69
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
204 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-148.54
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
157 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-98.64
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
140 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026
$0.00
$-124.96
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
125 shares @ 79.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-99.32
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$533.24Mar 20, 11:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$533.26Mar 20, 11:54 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 11:52 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$0.25Mar 20, 11:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$533.43Mar 20, 11:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$502.34Mar 20, 11:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$502.75Mar 20, 11:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$463.75Mar 20, 11:24 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$470.01Mar 20, 11:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$449.86Mar 20, 11:23 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$88.80Mar 20, 11:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$50.00Mar 20, 11:22 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$412.47Mar 20, 11:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$394.01Mar 20, 11:16 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$239.34Mar 20, 11:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$869.85Mar 20, 11:14 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.0KMar 20, 11:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.0KMar 20, 11:08 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.0KMar 20, 11:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$994.75Mar 20, 11:06 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry12 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $299.81
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 20, 10:07 UTC
Last active: Mar 20, 11:55 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 10:36:20 UTC·src:Polymarket Data