Assured-Applewood
0xd6505aab3c6bef32ae6c96dbd8023d7c4df114fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
0
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
No open positions.
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.7KJul 9, 21:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$38.2KJul 8, 23:34 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$370.06Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.9KJul 1, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$504.20Jun 28, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?$0.00Jun 27, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$0.00Jun 27, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Morocco (-1.5)$0.00Jun 27, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$0.00Jun 27, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$1.0MJun 27, 02:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.1KJun 27, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$14.5KJun 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$73.24Jun 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$44.23Jun 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$75.44Jun 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$0.75Jun 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$4.95Jun 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$377.19Jun 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$1.5KJun 27, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$4.42Jun 27, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 10 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
medium
10 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
$450.0K · 35% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $180.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.