Portly-Casualty
0xd650c3adf7e504924e84b06a9b8594f72277a4c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fuck" this week?
46 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Yoon in jail before August?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$1.00Aug 16, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNegative GDP growth in Q2 2025?$0.66Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elon" this week?$0.00Jul 14, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 8?$0.00Jul 9, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 8?$2.00Jul 8, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" this week?$1.00Jul 8, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon" this week?$2.00Jul 8, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?$2.00Jul 8, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.00Jul 8, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 0.95-0.99ºC in June 2025?$1.00Jul 8, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in Q2 2025?$1.00Jul 8, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$5.00Jul 8, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$3.00Jul 8, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon in jail before August?$3.00Jul 8, 08:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 12:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".