0xd652fe395fc8d84186087398cb2b8dd8ac467a2b
0xd652fe395fc8d84186087398cb2b8dd8ac467a2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$15.86
Total PnL
$2.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of July 20 2026?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$7.32
$2.28
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$5.00
$-0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$2.09
$0.14
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.45
$0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?$5.11Jul 22, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of July 20 2026?$5.12Jul 22, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$1.97Jul 21, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$1.30Jul 21, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $3.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.