0xd6546408d1506f8df44d86aef72dec1b71072efe
0xd6546408d1506f8df44d86aef72dec1b71072efe
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$166.50
Total PnL
$-397.67
Realised
$1.60
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?
107 shares @ 77.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$72.17
$-11.01
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 20?
52 shares @ 78.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$22.01
$-18.82
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 20?
25 shares @ 57.4¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$15.58
$1.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?
20 shares @ 75.5¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$13.50
$-1.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?
20 shares @ 68.5¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$13.30
$-0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 22?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$7.85
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 22?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$7.65
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.99
$1.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 21?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.55
$0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 20?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.20
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$2.26Jun 20, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 20?$7.00Jun 20, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$7.30Jun 20, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 20?$5.40Jun 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?$6.81Jun 20, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$4.26Jun 20, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$2.36Jun 20, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$4.07Jun 20, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 22?$7.79Jun 20, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 22?$7.89Jun 20, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$1.74Jun 20, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$2.21Jun 20, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$3.55Jun 20, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$7.80Jun 20, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$7.98Jun 20, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$16.35Jun 20, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$8.18Jun 20, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 20?$8.10Jun 20, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?$7.11Jun 20, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 20?$3.17Jun 20, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 05:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 12:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.