Impractical-Unblinking
0xd6546408d1506f8df44d86aef72dec1b71072efe
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$52.05
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-58.52
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 6?
14 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$12.83
$0.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4?
14 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$12.49
$0.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?
14 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$11.72
$-0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?
14 shares @ 86.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$9.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4?
14 shares @ 88.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$6.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 4?
191 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-124.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 26?
184 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-152.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 25?
129 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-102.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?
120 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-55.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?
115 shares @ 73.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-84.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 4?$10.58Aug 4, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4?$10.10Aug 4, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 6?$12.00Aug 4, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4?$6.04Aug 4, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?$3.10Aug 4, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 6?$12.00Aug 4, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 5?$13.65Aug 4, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6?$12.00Aug 4, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6?$8.90Aug 4, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4?$0.29Aug 4, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 4?$13.47Aug 4, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 3?$13.62Aug 4, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 3?$13.77Aug 4, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?$12.00Aug 4, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 3?$10.01Aug 3, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 4?$13.83Aug 3, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 4?$5.67Aug 3, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 5?$12.00Aug 3, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 3?$9.95Aug 3, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on August 3?$10.10Aug 3, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.