Probable-Darkness
0xd654e248ed46934e47a74efafbe4b2988afd0a18
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$26.90
Total PnL
$-74.71
Realised
$-3.48
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6PM ET
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.02
$0.14
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 6PM ET
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.00
$0.20
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
8 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$4.60
$-0.04
- OVER
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.19
$0.05
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.05
$0.00
- OVER
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5
5 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.03
$-0.03
- LIAM BROADY
Perugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
36 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.02
$-3.53
- FALCONS FORCE
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Falcons Force (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 1?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees$4.70Jun 3, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$5.00Jun 3, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$3.91Jun 3, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)$3.82Jun 3, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5$4.07Jun 3, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Yankees (-3.5)$4.07Jun 3, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6PM ET$4.89Jun 3, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 3, 6PM ET$4.81Jun 3, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 4.5$4.16Jun 3, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners$5.21Jun 3, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)$15.00Jun 3, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLPerugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar$1.73Jun 3, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPerugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar$3.43Jun 3, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLPerugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar$1.02Jun 3, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYPerugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar$5.13Jun 3, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ET$5.06Jun 3, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-4.5)$4.07Jun 3, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5PM ET$5.00Jun 3, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPerugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar$1.67Jun 3, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPerugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilar$1.58Jun 3, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 23:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".