Knotty-Simplicity
0xd65e81dcba199cb7dd106cf298b5bcda5b14814e
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$13.23
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-237.48
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
48 shares @ 22.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$13.23
$2.65
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 21?
4071 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-281.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
2386 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-95.27
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
2140 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1300 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-38.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
926 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-187.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
750 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
700 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-105.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$11.00Jun 4, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$11.00Jun 2, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$3.32May 31, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$3.23May 31, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$16.97May 30, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$6.68May 30, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$10.42May 30, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$4.92May 29, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$4.78May 29, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$13.77May 29, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$13.72May 29, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$16.07May 28, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$6.83May 28, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$2.61May 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$6.72May 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$7.13May 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$8.57May 28, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$3.50May 28, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$17.63May 28, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$22.17May 27, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $14.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".