0xd674b11f82e32161f1f5099bd9e019a8089db3a3
0xd674b11f82e32161f1f5099bd9e019a8089db3a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$97.66
Total PnL
$-167.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
40 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.32
$15.32
- YES
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$22.22
$12.22
- YES
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$20.41
$10.41
- YES
Will Enzo Fernández score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.71
$4.71
- YES
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
510 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
63 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$17.86Jun 28, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Son Heung-min score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.26Jun 25, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Enzo Fernández score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.20Jun 25, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Martin Ødegaard score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 25, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.31Jun 25, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernardo Silva score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.32Jun 25, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphinha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 25, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.35Jun 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25Jun 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.26Jun 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$10.23Jun 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$10.28Jun 25, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$25.70Jun 25, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$10.20Jun 25, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$65.79Jun 25, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 1 World Cup match?$25.72Jun 24, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$25.96Jun 24, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$128.21Jun 24, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.53Jun 24, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.24Jun 24, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $17.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 17:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.