0xd67619d95b7d3c3d7c7c50feb7b76a7aca89317e
0xd67619d95b7d3c3d7c7c50feb7b76a7aca89317e
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-288.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
5314 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?
1308 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 23-March 1?
1075 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 28?
845 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
822 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1?
715 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 1?
686 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
328 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 1?$9.30Feb 27, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 1?$9.50Feb 27, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on February 28?$9.60Feb 27, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$17.00Feb 27, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$23.00Feb 27, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 23-March 1?$25.00Feb 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$95.00Feb 24, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$100.00Feb 17, 16:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $36.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 16:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.