Superficial-Mud
0xd682ae41e1fd090193efa352388bdd8d811f1ae2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
186
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$53.04
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- GENONE
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- BIG ACADEMY
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG Academy (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
1630 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- FNATIC
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
1357 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- KOLESIE
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs KOLESIE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
1280 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- MASONIC
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Play-In Group D
1213 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- KOLESIE
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs KOLESIE (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SHARKS
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Sharks (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Redemption Curitiba Playoffs
702 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- FORZE RELOAD
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage
600 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.43
- NO
Will Trump say "Kushner" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?
517 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.00Feb 9, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Feb 9, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Feb 9, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.44Feb 9, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Feb 9, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.07Feb 9, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Feb 9, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.58Feb 9, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Feb 9, 07:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.05Feb 9, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Feb 8, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Feb 8, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.49Feb 8, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Feb 8, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.24Feb 8, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Feb 8, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.22Feb 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.00Feb 8, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Feb 8, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Feb 8, 11:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 08:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.