0xd684582a2fb53504872372b04518d78051a394c0
0xd684582a2fb53504872372b04518d78051a394c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$113.51
Total PnL
$26.41
Realised
$-1.57
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.78
$25.74
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
606 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$31.20
$5.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
512 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.50
$-2.41
- YES
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
96 shares @ 3.1¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.22
$2.25
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
152 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.49
$0.31
- NO
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
3 shares @ 95.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.73
$-0.06
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 17.7¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.37
$-0.41
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.30
$0.05
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.15
$-0.02
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.06
$0.96
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$0.01Jun 9, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$0.02Jun 9, 01:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$0.01Jun 8, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$0.02Jun 8, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$0.01Jun 8, 11:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.12Jun 6, 07:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$0.02Jun 5, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.16Jun 5, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.10Jun 5, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.18Jun 5, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.20Jun 5, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $0.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.