0xd684582a2fb53504872372b04518d78051a394c0
0xd684582a2fb53504872372b04518d78051a394c0
Quality score
53/100
Open positions
24
Open notional
$80.59
Total PnL
$-14.34
Realised
$-2.31
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
504 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.39
$-2.34
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.81
$-0.27
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
512 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.47
$-3.43
- NO
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?
8 shares @ 93.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.73
$-0.20
- NO
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.31
$-0.22
- YES
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
96 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.39
$0.42
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 17.7¢·now 18.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.88
$0.10
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 19.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.38
$-3.65
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.11
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.93
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$0.021h ago
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$0.011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$1.009h ago
- YIELD$0.0017h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?$1.941d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.222d ago
- YIELD$0.002d ago
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$0.012d ago
- REDEEMWill Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$0.112d ago
- REDEEMWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.272d ago
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.002d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?$1.932d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $0.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 6d ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.