Giant-Larch
0xd684ed03df3685496556406a9e8e29cbbb82f988
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-75.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
554 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 43% and 45%?
408 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
354 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,100 November 10-16?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
142 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
124 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
104 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 November 10-16?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
69 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$0.60Jan 21, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Jan 21, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$3.56Jan 21, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$2.00Jan 21, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Jan 21, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Jan 21, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 5, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$3.00Jan 2, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Jan 2, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Jan 2, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$0.35Jan 2, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Jan 2, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Jan 2, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Jan 2, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$2.00Jan 2, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 2, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1.00Jan 1, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.40Jan 1, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 00:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".