Violet-Negligee
0xd687dafecd241440c786bdcde394f4700c70bbb3
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-5.53
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 10?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12?
1250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 12?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 12?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.81
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 14?
511 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12?
498 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.87
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 13?
441 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11?
271 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
237 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
225 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.04Jul 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$8.22Jul 21, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 19?$4.61Jul 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?$1.12Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?$2.70Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?$8.63Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?$1.29Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?$14.61Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat?$6.23Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 18?$10.00Jul 19, 08:19 UTC
- REWARD$3.15Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ExxonMobil (XOM) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.3M?$6.60Jul 18, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLVisa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) <7.5%?$3.50Jul 18, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLVisa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) <7.5%?$8.21Jul 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYVisa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) <7.5%?$24.44Jul 18, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ExxonMobil (XOM) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.3M?$24.44Jul 18, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMicrosoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) <38%?$0.48Jul 18, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) <38%?$1.74Jul 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLMicrosoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) <38%?$0.87Jul 18, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) <38%?$0.41Jul 18, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.