Bumpy-Gift
0xd68d3a470e5168cd8b2cc34450ccf19d8acd43f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$4.74
Total PnL
$-4.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 8?$4.70Jun 5, 06:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?$5.10Jun 5, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?$5.00May 11, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on April 11?$5.18May 11, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on April 11?$5.13Apr 9, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELL1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$5.14Apr 9, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?$5.45Feb 8, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$5.45Feb 8, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$5.44Jan 30, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?$5.45Jan 30, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Faustin-Archange Touadéra win the 2025 Central African Republic presidential election?$5.43Jan 11, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on December 18?$5.42Jan 11, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on December 18?$5.37Dec 17, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of December 8 above $255?$5.38Dec 17, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of December 8 above $255?$5.37Dec 11, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 5?$5.37Dec 11, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 5?$5.30Dec 4, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 29?$5.30Dec 4, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 29?$5.11Nov 27, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democrats win between 60 and 64 seats in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?$5.11Nov 27, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 12:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 06:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.