Palatable-Civilian
0xd6906c9f19da603578583ccd516a9be4075bc187
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
72
Open notional
$6.20
Total PnL
$-117.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$4.24
$0.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$1.97
$1.00
- ECHARGUI
Open de Moselle: Learner Tien vs Moez Echargui
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-09?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
31 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
29 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 29?
19 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?
19 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 20?$1.00Apr 19, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 15?$1.01Apr 19, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?$1.14Apr 19, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 16?$1.89Apr 19, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 19?$4.00Apr 19, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 16?$1.00Apr 15, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 15?$1.00Apr 15, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 7?$1.00Apr 6, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 4?$1.00Apr 6, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 5?$1.14Apr 6, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 6?$1.00Apr 6, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 5?$1.00Apr 4, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 4?$1.00Apr 4, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 3?$1.59Apr 4, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?$2.09Apr 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 3?$1.00Apr 2, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$1.09Mar 25, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?$2.09Mar 25, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?$1.00Mar 24, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.