Piercing-Alluvium
0xd695e0e9e03d49987f5679ab37bf3acd987e0b02
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.84
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.62
$-0.00
- DOWN
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?
1 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.22
$0.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 15?
4200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 15?
4178 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 15?
4134 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
144 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-59.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
119 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-71.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
98 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.67
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
41 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-29.71
- STARS
Stars vs. Flames
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 20?$1.16May 20, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.30May 20, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$72.98Mar 12, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$2.00Mar 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$32.34Mar 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$25.57Mar 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$0.83Mar 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$4.90Mar 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$32.34Mar 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$99.90Mar 12, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$47.43Mar 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.71Mar 12, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$50.00Mar 12, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$30.00Mar 12, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$49.97Mar 12, 17:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $24.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".