Brown-Exaggeration
0xd69a2bfd159f440f139c9d9c648ab0aa060a9533
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$312.50
Total PnL
$-1.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-03-14?
313 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$312.50
$225.00
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $250?
280 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.95
- YES
Will Reiwa Shinsengumi be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?
276 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $102,000 on January 19?
251 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-22.30
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 24?
207 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.86
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,600 on January 18?
184 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.56
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?
174 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-7.12
- YES
Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)
162 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be greater than 2,400,000?
159 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 12?
157 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-03-14?$87.50Mar 7, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on February 20?$113.58Feb 21, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.20Feb 20, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTCU Horned Frogs vs. Houston Cougars (W)$4.22Feb 17, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on February 20?$112.33Feb 16, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$107.58Feb 16, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tyler Paul Smith win the GA-14 special election?$2.99Feb 16, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$104.46Feb 15, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$117.08Feb 15, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on February 16?$2.19Feb 12, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWomen's Group A - Finland vs. Canada$4.56Feb 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 9 above $250?$8.95Feb 10, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on February 12?$2.02Feb 10, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?$114.27Feb 10, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMOakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Michigan Wolverines (W)$126.97Feb 9, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reiwa Shinsengumi be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?$5.79Feb 7, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?$5.44Feb 6, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be greater than 2,400,000?$4.29Feb 3, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$8.64Feb 3, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$8.25Jan 31, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $28.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".