Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.3K

Realised

$0.23

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 33

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
5556 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
1148 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$0.00
$-19.99
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
1111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
860 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-90.83
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
688 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-99.62
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
605 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$0.00
$-99.53
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
496 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-128.81
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
484 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$0.00
$-112.98
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
360 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026
$0.00
$-29.95

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$90.83Mar 11, 00:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$180.00Mar 11, 00:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$10.00Mar 11, 00:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$100.00Mar 11, 00:25 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$142.59Mar 11, 00:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$50.00Mar 11, 00:22 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$169.70Mar 11, 00:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$100.00Mar 11, 00:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$50.00Mar 11, 00:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$100.00Mar 11, 00:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$20.00Mar 11, 00:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$110.00Mar 11, 00:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$10.00Mar 10, 23:58 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$32.29Mar 10, 23:45 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$21.68Mar 10, 23:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$20.00Mar 10, 23:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$10.00Mar 10, 23:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$20.00Mar 10, 23:37 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$6.29Mar 10, 23:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$120.00Mar 10, 23:13 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry9 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk53 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $40.09
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 10, 20:50 UTC
Last active: Mar 11, 00:42 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:12:45 UTC·src:Polymarket Data