Flickering-Oven
0xd6b2398ba7ae411fd01c89e506e5207785e6c4d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-151.62
Realised
$1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
231 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-87.82
- YES
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
207 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.80
- NO
Will a Republican win Missouri Presidential Election?
52 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Kansas Presidential Election?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
24 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?$0.40Nov 6, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$5.80Nov 6, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Missouri Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 6, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Kansas Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 6, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 6, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?$3.00Nov 6, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 6, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$9.00Nov 6, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?$20.00Nov 5, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$39.00Nov 5, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$125.82Nov 5, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $21.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 02:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".