Wallet digest

active

Activity score

40/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$10.00

Total PnL

$-45.13

Realised

$-0.81

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 28

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$5.00
$1.55
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$5.00
$1.55
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
15 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026
$0.00
$-4.05
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
15 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-2.75
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
15 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026
$0.00
$-5.71
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
10 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-0.85
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
10 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026
$0.00
$-3.65
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$0.00
$-1.70
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026
$0.00
$-1.80

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$3.45Mar 11, 09:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$3.45Mar 11, 07:36 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Feb 20, 23:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.50Feb 20, 17:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.45Feb 20, 16:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.70Feb 20, 16:43 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$5.00Feb 20, 16:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.53Feb 20, 05:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.32Feb 20, 05:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.14Feb 20, 05:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.15Feb 20, 05:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.60Feb 20, 05:38 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$0.35Feb 20, 05:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$0.25Feb 20, 05:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$0.85Feb 20, 05:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.60Feb 20, 04:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$0.75Feb 20, 04:09 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.55Feb 20, 04:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$0.30Feb 20, 04:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 03:41 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry50 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 45
Avg trade size: $1.16
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 19, 18:36 UTC
Last active: Mar 11, 09:39 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 20:43:35 UTC·src:Polymarket Data