Reasonable-Breakdown
0xd6b7baf1c5a234ce08db030ae260ee30629d7faf
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$16.70
Total PnL
$1.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Erdoğan out in 2025?
9 shares @ 88.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.10
$1.05
- NO
North Korea x South Korea military clash by December 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- ISRAEL
Will Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.79
$-0.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMWimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov $0.00Jul 16, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov $0.00Jul 16, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov $2.00Jul 16, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public before July?$0.00Jul 7, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?$0.00Jul 7, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?$0.00Jul 7, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public before July?$0.00Jul 7, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?$0.00Jul 7, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?$0.00Jul 7, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public before July?$0.00Jul 7, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?$1.25Jul 7, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?$1.59Jul 7, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov $1.00Jul 7, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?$0.00Jun 26, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMFrench Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner $0.00Jun 26, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?$1.00Jun 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public before July?$1.00Jun 25, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?$1.00Jun 25, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEM50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?$0.00Jun 8, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEM50% tariff goes into effect on EU by June 1?$5.71Jun 8, 14:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.