Acceptable-Railing
0xd6bf7c842cf97b30831b9f16dfc361ab4e71c7ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$7.07
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-82.23
Win rate
49%
45 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.95
$0.15
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
8 shares @ 43.0¢·now 24.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.95
$-1.49
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
45 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.16
$-1.15
- YES
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.01
$-1.04
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
7661 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.78
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
2926 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-310.53
- YES
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
2255 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.15
- YES
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
2161 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.71
- YES
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
1833 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- YES
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
1069 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.90Jun 12, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$1.31Jun 12, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$49.37Jun 12, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$164.30Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$44.39May 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$159.26May 28, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.48May 28, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.09May 28, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.50May 28, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bessent say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during Press Briefing?$2.08May 28, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.44May 27, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$22.50May 23, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" this week?$1.82May 23, 21:56 UTC
- REWARD$2.69May 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" during events in Rockland County?$9.30May 22, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12.60May 22, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?$25.23May 22, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$1.2KMay 22, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$3.64May 22, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$786.28May 22, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $71.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 45 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.