Stiff-Relief
0xd6cde9bb3ea90d5d9ac6cca3f4d32614f258eaec
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$224.15
Total PnL
$-858.72
Realised
$-5.33
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 23?
179 shares @ 89.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$140.47
$-20.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 23?
70 shares @ 73.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$65.45
$14.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 23?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.84
$6.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$6.38
$-3.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on July 7?
307 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?
278 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?
142 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-99.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 11?
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 11?
100 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 10?
94 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 23?$50.37Jul 22, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$3.99Jul 22, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$0.50Jul 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$8.64Jul 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$4.34Jul 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$2.11Jul 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$9.56Jul 22, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 23?$90.35Jul 22, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$6.70Jul 22, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$13.14Jul 22, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$42.11Jul 22, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 22?$2.16Jul 22, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 22?$10.39Jul 22, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$4.58Jul 22, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$5.75Jul 22, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$5.12Jul 22, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 23?$20.60Jul 22, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 22?$4.51Jul 22, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 23?$5.20Jul 22, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?$10.26Jul 22, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $24.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.