Serious-Hearthside
0xd6ce651998b7a30ff3384e5a01feab8a2da00772
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$14.4K
Total PnL
$-4.38
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
6723 shares @ 73.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.7K
$1.7K
- NO
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
2467 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$25.90
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
2500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$120.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
1000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$40.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
1000 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1000.00
$44.00
- NO
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
500 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$499.73
$14.75
- NO
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
119 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$118.31
$1.19
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
91 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$89.58
$2.56
- NO
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
73 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.61
$1.93
- NO
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?
50 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.00
$0.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$8.67May 30, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$32.33May 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$129.33May 29, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$314.64May 29, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.6KMay 26, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$33.48May 26, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$26.04May 26, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$55.80May 26, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$40.92May 26, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$35.34May 26, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$4.93May 26, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$531.43May 26, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?$87.17May 26, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?$117.19May 26, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?$69.82May 26, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Comey smile in his mugshot?$49.62May 26, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$4.9KMay 26, 18:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 22, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.84May 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$214.79May 20, 22:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $606.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 19:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.