Excitable-Certification
0xd6d58d3fa3ffb6e543e6cb17f25ed50b7de15e41
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-530.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
2848 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
1978 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
595 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-378.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?
539 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will “Other” be the top global Netflix movie this week?
335 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.6–1.7 million views on week 1?
260 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.7–1.8 million views on week 1?
260 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.8–1.9 million views on week 1?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.85May 6, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.05May 6, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.03May 6, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00May 6, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00May 6, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$128.00Oct 20, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI browser in 2025?$128.98Oct 20, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$14.00Oct 17, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$1.11Oct 17, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$3.85Oct 17, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RB Leipzig win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$3.02Oct 17, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser in 2025?$40.00Oct 16, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.00Oct 16, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$150.00Oct 16, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$5.00Oct 15, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$20.00Oct 15, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$3.00Oct 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$1.00Oct 15, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RB Leipzig win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$5.00Oct 15, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$5.00Oct 15, 07:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $16.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 16:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".