Bright-Mammoth
0xd6dadd646711eb839dc938268221dc9ad3c957b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$16.38
Total PnL
$-134.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.72
$0.05
- NO
Obama divorce in 2025?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.63
$0.03
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.56
$0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.47
$0.00
- NO
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.45
$0.00
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.38
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.36
$0.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.00
- NO
Will Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.23
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.38Dec 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.47Dec 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.56Dec 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.45Dec 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.36Dec 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.20Dec 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.28Dec 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.23Dec 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.67Dec 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?$2.00Dec 30, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on December 15?$135.00Dec 14, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by October 31?$1.17Dec 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?$1.25Dec 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?$2.01Dec 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?$2.76Dec 14, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,700 October 20-26?$1.15Oct 30, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,600 October 20-26?$1.22Oct 30, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.27Oct 30, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 23-26?$1.36Oct 30, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$2.42Oct 30, 11:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 07:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 23:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".