Excellent-Effectiveness
0xd6e1352b49960747e1feb7a69f69dc26624f1df4
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-299.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
3816 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
395 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Solana ETF approved by July 31?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?
367 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Lighter FDV above $6B one day after launch?
351 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Lighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?
340 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 60?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $750M one day after launch?$10.00Dec 31, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $3B one day after launch?$10.00Dec 31, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$10.00Dec 31, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $750M one day after launch?$10.00Dec 31, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?$30.00Dec 30, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?$20.00Dec 30, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?$20.00Dec 30, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $6B one day after launch?$10.00Dec 30, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $6B one day after launch?$10.00Dec 30, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $30.00Dec 30, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$31.25Dec 30, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$64.52Dec 30, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$10.00Jul 4, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Jul 4, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?$10.00Jul 1, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$10.00Jul 1, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?$10.00Jul 1, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 60?$10.00Jul 1, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$10.00Jul 1, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$10.00Jul 1, 03:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $12.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".