Respectful-Arcade
0xd6e40814a330ad22fb0771454ac34155cc5d4551
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-71.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on January 21?
501 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 55°F or below on January 21?
254 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on January 21?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 58-59°F on January 21?
28 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?
7 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on January 21?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.22Mar 31, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$57.00Mar 31, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$18.63Mar 31, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.78Mar 31, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$6.74Mar 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$23.80Mar 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$2.46Mar 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$0.68Mar 30, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$2.00Mar 30, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$2.19Mar 30, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$39.20Mar 30, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$34.50Mar 30, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$5.20Mar 30, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?$0.92Mar 9, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$0.11Mar 9, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$9.18Mar 9, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$0.34Mar 9, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$18.70Mar 9, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?$5.67Mar 9, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?$99.99Feb 3, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $10.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 11:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".