Kindly-Ox
0xd6e4156c875652c0d62b94fd9b0635cf622c959d
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.36
Total PnL
$-6.88
Realised
$-0.24
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- OVER
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
8 shares @ 13.3¢·now 13.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$0.99
$-0.01
- MACKENZIE DERN
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- TRESEAN GORE
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.87
$-0.13
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on July 27?
328 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or below on July 26?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5$1.02Aug 15, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLCincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic$1.56Aug 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino Prizmic$1.03Aug 13, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$1.04Aug 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$1.02Aug 13, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)$1.02Aug 13, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$0.00Aug 11, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.03Aug 11, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier$2.46Aug 10, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier$1.03Aug 10, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.14Aug 10, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yaneva$1.02Aug 6, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.02Aug 6, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.00Aug 6, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 29?$1.32Jul 29, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 28, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?$1.02Jul 28, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 28?$0.80Jul 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?$1.66Jul 28, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 28?$1.02Jul 27, 12:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 02:07 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.