Well-Lit-Asymmetry
0xd6f285d3b3775c0907c8aaf44695d0a8e7abad07
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$65.57
Total PnL
$-40.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
68 shares @ 71.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$65.57
$17.10
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
465 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Fox interview on Wednesday?
352 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$49.03May 5, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$49.13May 3, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$18.67Apr 23, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?$0.00Apr 23, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?$30.00Apr 21, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$10.00Apr 17, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Fox interview on Wednesday?$10.00Apr 15, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$46.26Apr 15, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$10.00Apr 15, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$10.00Apr 15, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$10.00Apr 15, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$50.00Apr 15, 11:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $23.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.