Formal-Nut
0xd6f7998845e3ff4cde67eb632212854428ab1a48
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$5.07
Total PnL
$-10.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$1.00Jan 21, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.01Jan 15, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.06Jan 7, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.07Jan 7, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.08Jan 7, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMAI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?$1.08Jan 7, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.16Jan 7, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$2.17Jan 7, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.01Dec 12, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.03Dec 12, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$2.07Dec 11, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$6.13Dec 11, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.00Dec 11, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.08Dec 10, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.00Dec 10, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $167.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 05:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".