Severe-Cheer
0xd70756d959e1a167fb2bac70fd8fdfe00ba7e76c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRams vs. Bears$7.93Jan 19, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLRams vs. Bears$7.34Jan 19, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLRams vs. Bears$11.21Jan 19, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Bears$10.00Jan 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Bears$20.00Jan 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 1, 9PM ET$5.00Jan 2, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 1, 9PM ET$5.00Jan 2, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$38.34Jan 2, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$39.68Jan 2, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Public transport" 3+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$0.00Jan 1, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Public transport" 3+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$0.00Jan 1, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Public transport" 3+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?$0.00Jan 1, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 19?$0.00Jan 1, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 21?$0.00Jan 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Australia PM events on October 20?$0.00Jan 1, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Australia PM events on October 20?$0.00Jan 1, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 20?$0.00Jan 1, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Dec 22, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$0.02Dec 22, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$5.00Nov 26, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $10.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 02:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.