Capital-Wear
0xd71269fc239ba2685fec25fcd5353ab87fc0228d
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
184
Open notional
$12.38
Total PnL
$-924.18
Realised
$199.81
Win rate
45%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 184- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
18 shares @ 67.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.38
$0.61
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
15000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
13000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
10601 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-138.69
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
7500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-63.49
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 580 and 599 times September 5–12?
6500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-6.99
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
4803 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-115.49
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
4600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2502 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-64.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY5kt meteor strike in 2026?$11.77May 3, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.00Apr 10, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - April 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.00Apr 10, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.00Apr 9, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$3.00Apr 6, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.00Apr 5, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.00Apr 5, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 2, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Military" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.00Apr 2, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.06Apr 2, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Mar 31, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$15.00Mar 31, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$4.00Nov 21, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 19:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 06:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".