Spotted-Naming
0xd7156989602d4435670946ad4b93b0293c1c9cc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.06
Realised
$3.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
2025 July hottest on record?
71 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
July jobs report prints negative?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on July 31?
28 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
4 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$25.00Sep 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.79Sep 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged for insider trading Trump tariff announcements?$4.82Sep 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBrazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$3.16Sep 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.50Sep 10, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$0.00Sep 4, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no leader be out in 2025?$20.15Sep 4, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$7.25Sep 4, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Aug 18, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$5.00Aug 18, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$0.00Aug 18, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$10.64Aug 18, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by 2025?$4.73Aug 8, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by 2025?$4.00Aug 2, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$25.00Aug 2, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump try to fire Powell by July 31?$5.10Aug 1, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?$7.58Aug 1, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$14.91Aug 1, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran enrich uranium to 90% before August?$25.85Aug 1, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$4.00Jul 29, 17:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $8.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 10, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".