Ancient-Cornmeal
0xd71c1719cd923d7f6796451dcc173abdc0f5c4c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$867.58
Total PnL
$-37.99
Realised
$10.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
224 shares @ 81.5¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$194.38
$12.18
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
230 shares @ 86.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$172.23
$-27.13
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
309 shares @ 42.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$137.50
$7.72
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
167 shares @ 90.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$136.61
$-13.33
- NO
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?
430 shares @ 36.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.85
$-27.95
- NO
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
110 shares @ 90.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$99.82
$0.00
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 16.8¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.17
$-0.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$95.05May 16, 05:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$62.62May 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$40.65May 13, 10:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$40.79May 12, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$212.39May 12, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$17.54May 12, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$39.97May 12, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24?$44.20May 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?$50.11May 12, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$92.03May 12, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?$99.68May 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24?$39.35May 12, 01:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Green Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$25.27May 11, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $59.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".