Unwieldy-Beak
0xd71c7cacf7ab47c9dae037cfcd340313eff520b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$656.89
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$-165.95
Win rate
24%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
250 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$249.61
$27.12
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
327 shares @ 63.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$230.66
$24.54
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
180 shares @ 71.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$171.14
$43.03
- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.97
$1.22
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?
14 shares @ 42.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.38
$-5.40
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
241 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-103.83
- TEAM BALD
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
44 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.02
$-14.06
- YES
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
2957 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-131.50
- G2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
1971 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-790.24
- MIBR
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
1968 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-433.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$4.37Jun 26, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs$9.81Jun 26, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$42.22Jun 26, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.17Jun 26, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.06Jun 26, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$6.52Jun 26, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.83Jun 26, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$27.54Jun 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.86Jun 26, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$13.69Jun 26, 07:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.19Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$72.12Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$0.09Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$203.54Jun 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$0.12Jun 25, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$0.12Jun 25, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner$56.15Jun 25, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$100.90Jun 25, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$151.35Jun 25, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$53.55Jun 25, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.