Incredible-Trade
0xd72badced66f3f563504edb59124726f1fd1f08e
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-41.25
Win rate
53%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
929 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.29
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
144 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-28.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
128 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
127 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-64.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
122 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
118 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-87.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
116 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
106 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-28.42
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
89 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-48.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.05Apr 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.05Apr 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$1.05Apr 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.21Apr 30, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3.77Apr 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.17Apr 30, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$6.85Apr 30, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.10Apr 30, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$7.25Apr 30, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.03Apr 30, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$10.43Apr 30, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.03Apr 30, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.03Apr 30, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.35Apr 30, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$10.35Apr 30, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$32.44Apr 30, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$10.29Apr 30, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$10.27Apr 30, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.35Apr 30, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.90Apr 30, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 19:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.