0xd72dc68a79c63ba9b7f120e2a994b1e7ec2d453d
0xd72dc68a79c63ba9b7f120e2a994b1e7ec2d453d
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$85.05
Total PnL
$-2.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$9.65
$-0.14
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.61
$-0.16
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
36 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.58
$-0.18
- YES
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?
36 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$9.58
$-0.18
- YES
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$9.56
$-0.19
- YES
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
51 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$9.47
$-0.26
- YES
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
51 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$9.47
$-0.26
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
88 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$9.26
$-0.44
- YES
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
57 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.86
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$10.01Jun 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?$10.03Jun 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$10.02Jun 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Sweden end in a draw?$10.01Jun 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?$10.02Jun 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?$10.02Jun 28, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$10.02Jun 28, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$10.02Jun 28, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?$10.02Jun 28, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$70.06Jun 28, 04:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$39.00Jun 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$0.00Jun 28, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$0.00Jun 27, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$10.03Jun 27, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$10.01Jun 27, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$10.02Jun 27, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$10.02Jun 27, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal win on 2026-06-26?$37.30Jun 26, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?$0.00Jun 26, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-26?$30.17Jun 26, 06:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $9.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 07:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.