Kosher-Deposit
0xd72fa1145034bede89fc4aadac827db9b1744d8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$33.62
Total PnL
$-33.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
25 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$25.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,100 November 10-16?
8 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$8.49
$0.04
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
137 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
71 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
20 shares @ 98.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,100 November 10-16?$8.45Nov 13, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $114k November 3-9?$5.10Nov 13, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 8?$8.04Nov 13, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?$10.12Nov 13, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$10.53Nov 13, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 44.0 and 44.4 on November 7 2025?$26.26Nov 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 8?$8.00Nov 7, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?$10.00Nov 6, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$10.00Nov 6, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be between 44.0 and 44.4 on November 7 2025?$26.00Nov 6, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$20.00Nov 6, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 2?$17.53Nov 6, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$18.57Nov 6, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $114k November 3-9?$5.00Nov 5, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$25.00Nov 5, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.00Nov 4, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.00Nov 3, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 2?$17.00Nov 1, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$18.35Nov 1, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.00Oct 31, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $12.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.